Monday, 5 March 2012

What's so Super About Tuesday?

What's so super about Tuesday? 419 GOP delegates: Super? Maybe not this time. But this Tuesday, with the largest allocation of the Republican presidential primary.

Super Tuesday, thin to half its size, but also for distribution in 2008 one third of delegates needed to win, probably will not solve much.

Of course, it could push Newt Gingrich on race, Ron Paul and have more confidence. But it will not be easy either Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum noted a decisive advantage, as the delegates are allocated a share. The second in the state can pay almost as well as in the first place.

Win big states, especially Ohio, and the symbolism is powerful, of course.

Romney can strengthen the favorite status, which glides through your fingers. Santorum could prove that he is real.

What is at stake, and thus what might happen? Super Tuesday tip sheet:

___

Tuesday delegates to win: 419.

Delegates have already won the 353. Romney, 203; Santorum, 92, Gingrich, 33, Paul, 25.

The delegates needed for nomination in 1144.

___

Super Tuesday super expensive:

The cost of a week of heavy advertising in all 10 states, the candidate will be worth $ 5 million.

That's a lot, even for well-funded Romney campaign, which prompted him to make a statement for donations in the middle of his victory speech in Michigan. Gingrich is the new wave of millions of dollars in Las Vegas billionaire Sheldon Adelson, who gave money for a certain type of political action committee, known as super-PAC, which will take place ads in key states.

___

Ohio, Ohio, Ohio:

It's a race to watch. Political junkies get all misty eyes on the swing state of the rust belt, and not just because of the 63 delegates.

No Republican candidate ever become president without winning the state. That is why this land of influential people who are trying to show that they can take on President Barack Obama.

It is home to Joe the Plumber and tens of thousands of auto workers, but not all, and Ohio blue collar. In addition, it is rock and roll, high-tech science, medical and energy, the passengers, soy and dairy producers, some quarter of a million (OK, the cows can not vote). The big problem is the economy, including the Salvation Obama's auto industry.

Santorum and Romney compete in Ohio. Search results to produce more noise than any other Super Tuesday contests.

___

The Last Stand, or Newt Gingrich rises again?

Remove the hook for Newt Gingrich, if he loses in Georgia, the state which he represented in the House of the United States for two decades.

Gingrich hopes to win here, and strongly enough to pick up other delegates to revive his campaign, and goes down, which is basically down and out, as he lost in Florida in January. He has support from the governor of the transaction and Hermann Nathan Kane, a member of the Georgian language. He has a new field, saying that he can bring the cost of gas to $ 2.50 per gallon.

Santorum is pushing hard to get the conservative Christian voters of the state and tea from Gingrich. Romney remains a force, even if the state of your comfort zone. Georgia has the biggest cache of delegates per day: 76.

___

In other countries of the South:

Two other Bible Belt states, Tennessee and Oklahoma, located in the heart of hope for the revival of Gingrich. But Santorum insisted that he would be a great story at a time.

In Tennessee, confident-sounding Santorum is trying to follow in the footsteps of another openly conservative Christian, Mike Huckabee, who won the primary four years. Romney boasts the support of the popular Governor Bill Haslam, while Gingrich is connected one of the most colorful state political figures, former senator, actor and Law and Order star Fred Thompson. At stake are 55 delegates.

Littered with drilling rigs and ranches, Oklahoma on both sides of the South and Great Plains, and sits right of the red states red. Santorum called it a "zero-conservative movement," and his anti-abortion, pro-family values ​​message attracted an enthusiastic crowd here. Other three candidates also fell, hoping to prove his good faith in the conservative Oka. It has 40 delegates.

___

Paul's Big Night?

Anti-war, libertarian tendency unorthodox Republican has not won a single state. Super Tuesday may change that.

Paul focuses on three assembly states - Idaho, North Dakota and Alaska - where many people in his circle of enthusiasts will have the greatest impact. Even if he does not win, it is likely to select delegates to help him power in the Republican convention this summer, enough clout to promote their ideas.

But his opponents will not be easy.

Idaho's largest population of Mormons - about one quarter of its components - bodes well for Romney, a Mormon. Santorum seeks to win in North Dakota, and Romney is trying too.

Paul, Congressman from Texas, perhaps, only one trip to Alaska, however, he was ready on Sunday. At the same time, the most famous Republican Sarah Palin of Alaska, said nice things about Gingrich.

Together, these three groups of 84 paying delegates (32 of Idaho, North Dakota 28 Alaska 24).

___

What is wrong with Virginia?

Gingrich would like to compete in this southern state, but it is not. Only Romney and Paul landed a spot on the ballot, after the organization strong enough to collect the 10,000 signatures needed. That leaves mostly curiosity Virginia. What a show can gather, Paul continues to Mano Mano with Romney? The struggle over 46 delegates.

___

Romney's territory:

There is little drama in the races of the North-East. Romney virtually unopposed in his power base in Massachusetts, where he was governor a little over five years. Participants: 38. He is expected to win easy Vermont neighbor, too, though Santorum is trying to clear from some of the 17 delegates.

___

The next step:

Caucasus and the main one in Kansas, Wyoming, Alabama, Hawaii, Mississippi, Missouri, Illinois and Louisiana to complete the busiest month of the year nomination. Three territories - American Samoa, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico - are also entitled to vote in March.

No comments:

Post a Comment